Place | Name | Jan. 28 | Feb. 25 | Mar. 17 | Mar. 31 | Apr. 10 | Apr. 24 | May 5 | May 19 | Jun. 3 | Jun. 12 |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
(8%) | (11%) | (15%) | (18%) | (18%) | (21%) | (28%) | (33%) | (37%) | (36%) |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
(20%) | (24%) | (25%) | (25%) | (26%) | (27%) | (27%) | (26%) | (26%) | (24%) |
3 | Alexander Lebed |
(10%) | (8%) | (8%) | (10%) | (10%) | (8%) | (6%) | (7%) | (7%) | (10%) |
4 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
(13%) | (9%) | (11%) | (9%) | (10%) | (11%) | (9%) | (9%) | (7%) | (8%) |
5 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
(10%) | (12%) | (9%) | (9%) | (8%) | (9%) | (7%) | (7%) | (6%) | (6%) |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
(8%) | (7%) | (7%) | (7%) | (8%) | (4%) | (7%) | (4%) | (3%) | (3%) |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
(1%) | (0.6%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (2%) | (1%) | (0.5%) | (1%) | (0.5%) |
8 | Vladimir Bryntsalov |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.4%) | - | (0.4%) |
9 | Yuri Vlasov |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.4%) | - | (0.3%) |
10 | Martin Shakkum |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0.5%) | - | (0.1%) |
out | Viktor Chernomyrdin |
(7%) | (5%) | (4%) | (3%) | (4%) | - | - | - | - | - |
out |
Yegor Gaidar |
(3%) | (4%) | (3%) | (3%) | (3%) | - | - | - | - | - |
out | Aman Tuleyev |
- | - | - | - | - | - | (2%) | (1%) | - | (1%) |
- | someone else | - | - | - | - | - | - | (3%) | - | - | - |
- | against all | (2%) | (3%) | (4%) | - | (2%) | - | (1%) | (4%) | - | (2%) |
- | undecided | (15%) | (13%) | (10%) | (12%) | (9%) | (12%) | (11%) | (8%) | - | (9%) |
- | Will vote | - | 63% | 65% | - | 68% | 70% | 73% | - | - | 80% |
- | Won't vote | - | - | 20% | - | 20% | - | - | - | - | - |
Place | Name | Apr. 10 - Apr. 15 |
Apr. 27 - May 2 |
May 17 | May 24 - May 28 |
June 7 | June 13 |
1 | Gennady Zyuganov |
(38-47%) | (43-45%) | (42%) | (36%) | (31%) | (35.6%) |
2 | Boris Yeltsin |
(16-20%) | (25%) | (27%) | (36%) | (40%) | (32.7%) |
3 | Alexander Lebed |
(8-10%) | (8%) | (8%) | (7-8%) | (9%) | (11.0%) |
4 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
(8-9%) | (8%) | (10%) | (10%) | (11%) | (9.8%) |
5 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
(6-7%) | (7%) | (7%) | (5-7%) | (5%) | (7.5%) |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
(2-4%) | (3%) | (3%) | (4%) | (2%) | - |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
(1-2%) | (1-2%) | - | - | - | - |
Place | Name | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
10.0% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 35.2% |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
16.4% | 25.8% | 28.0% | 22.4% |
3 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
12.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
4 | Alexander Lebed |
10.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
5 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
1.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
8 | Martin Shakkum |
- | - | - | 0.9% |
9 | Yuri Vlasov |
- | - | - | 0.6% |
10 | Vladimir Bryntsalov |
- | - | - | 0.2% |
out | Aman Tuleyev |
- | - | - | 3.1% |
Place | Name | Mar. 2 | Mar. 30 | Apr. 7 | Apr. 13 | Apr. 20 | Apr. 28 | May 5 | May 12 | May 18 | Jun. 9 |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
14% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 26.5% | 25.0% | 27.8% | 34.2% | 34% |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
20% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 22% | 25.2% | 24.5% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 30% |
3 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | - | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8% |
4 | Alexander Lebed |
7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | - | 5.8% | 4.6% | - | 7% |
5 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
11% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | - | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6% |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | - | 3.5% | 3.1% | - | 2% |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
- | - | - | - | - | - | 0.5% | 0.9% | - | - |
- | someone else | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - |
- | against all | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - |
- | won't vote | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - |
- | undecided | 14% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 20% | - | - | - | - | - |
Place | Name | Mar. 20 | Apr. 23 | May 14 | Jun. 1 | Jun. 8 |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
14.0% | 20.7% | 27.7% | 32.6% | 34.5% |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
19.1% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
3 | Alexander Lebed |
3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% |
4 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% |
5 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | - | 2.7% |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
- | 1% | - | - | - |
- | Uncertain | 28.2% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | - |
- | Against all | - | 3% | - | - | - |
- | Won't vote | - | 8% | - | - | - |
Place | Name | Feb. 18 | Mar. 17 | Mar. 31 | Apr. 14 | Apr. 28 | May 5 | May 12 | May 19 | May 26 | Jun. 3 | Jun. 12 |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
8% | (17%) | (19%) | (22%) | (28%) | (29%) | (32%) | (31%) | (35%) | (35%) | (34%) |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
18% | (26%) | (27%) | (27%) | (28%) | (25%) | (25%) | (27%) | (24%) | (23%) | (23%) |
3 | Alexander Lebed |
9% | - | - | (8%) | (7%) | (6%) | (5%) | (4%) | (6%) | (7%) | (8%) |
4 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
11% | (9%) | - | (7%) | (7%) | (8%) | (9%) | (7%) | (6%) | (7%) | (7%) |
5 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
9% | (7%) | - | (6%) | (5%) | (6%) | (5%) | (5%) | (5%) | (4%) | (5%) |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
- | - | - | (6%) | (6%) | (4%) | (3%) | (5%) | (3%) | (2%) | (2%) |
7 |
Mikhail Gorbachev |
- | - | - | - | (2%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (0%) | (1%) |
8 | Martin Shakkum |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0%) | (0%) | (0%) | (1%) |
9 | Yuri Vlasov |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0%) | (0%) | (0%) | (1%) |
10 | Vladimir Bryntsalov |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | (0%) | (0%) | (0%) | (0%) |
out | Viktor Chernomyrdin |
7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
out | Aman Tuleyev |
- | - | - | - | - | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) | (1%) |
- | undecided | - | - | - | - | (15%) | - | - | (17%) | (19%) | (17%) | (18%) |
VCIOM NEGATIVE RATINGS: "Whom of the following politicians you would not like ever to see as president of Russia?" All the answers below were given by those who have already decided to vote.
Name | Jan. '96 | Feb. '96 | Mar. '96 | Apr. '96 | May '96 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
(49%) | (49%) | (59%) | (56%) | (57%) |
Boris Yeltsin |
(43%) | (40%) | (39%) | (37%) | (36%) |
Gennady Zyuganov |
(14%) | (21%) | (26%) | (27%) | (29%) |
Alexander Lebed |
(9%) | (8%) | (12%) | (9%) | (8%) |
Grigory Yavlinsky |
(6%) | (4%) | (6%) | (6%) | (6%) |
Svyatoslav Fedorov |
(4%) | (2%) | (5%) | (4%) | (4%) |
Hard to say | (8%) | (8%) | (11%) | - | - |
The following polls were conducted to determine the RUNOFF prospectives of the candidates.
Name | Jan. ? | Jan. 28 | Feb. 13 | Feb. ? | Feb. 25 | Mar. 17 | Mar. 31 | Apr. 10 | May 6 | May 12 | May 19 | May 26 | Jun. 12 |
Gennady Zyuganov |
41% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 39% | 36% | 32% | 29% | 29% | 31% (37%) | (37%) | (36%) | (36%) |
Boris Yeltsin |
21% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 27% | 33% | 24% | 28% | 31% | 37% (45%) | (50%) | (52%) | (53%) |
against both | 21% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 15% (17%) | (13%) | (12%) | (11%) |
won't vote | 7% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 9% | - | - | - |
undecided | 10% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 8% | - | - | - |
Name | Jan. ? | Jan. 28 | Feb. 13 | Feb. ? | Feb. 25 | Mar. 17 | Mar. 31 | Apr. 10 | May 12 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 34% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 37% | 34% | 29% | 27% | (40%) |
Grigory Yavlinsky | 36% | 33% | 34% | 29% | 33% | 32% | 31% | 31% | (41%) |
against both | 15% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | (19%) |
won't vote | 4% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | - |
undecided | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 13% | - |
Name | Jan. ? | Jan. 28 | Feb. 13 | Mar. 17 | Mar. 31 | Apr. 10 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 42% | 35% | 35% | 40% | 35% | 33% |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
against both | 27% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 32% | 30% |
won't vote | 6% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 12% | 18% |
undecided | 10% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
Name | Jan. 28 | Feb. ? | Mar. 31 | Apr. 10 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 28% | 31% | 30% | 26% |
Alexander Lebed | 28% | 23% | 23% | 28% |
against both | 20% | 24% | 24% | 18% |
won't vote | 12% | 12% | 12% | 16% |
undecided | 12% | 10% | 11% | 12% |
Name | Feb. | Apr. |
Gennady Zyuganov | 32.3% | 36.5% |
Boris Yeltsin | 25.2% | 31.7% |
against both | 36.3% | 20.8% |
Name | Feb. | Apr. |
Gennady Zyuganov | 29.2% | 36.0% |
Grigory Yavlinsky | 34.2% | 31.0% |
against both | 31.4% | 20.3% |
Name | Feb. | Apr. |
Gennady Zyuganov | 33.6% | 37.2% |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 11.2% | 11.2% |
against both | 47.1% | 41.2% |
Name | Feb. | Apr. |
Gennady Zyuganov | 29.3% | 35.4% |
Alexander Lebed | 24.9% | 24.8% |
against both | 38.7% | 27.1% |
Name | Feb. | Apr. |
Grigory Yavlinsky | 35.2% | 28.0% |
Boris Yeltsin | 20.1% | 26.8% |
against both | 37.1% | 30.1% |
Name | Mar. 17 | Apr. 14 | Apr. 20 | Apr. 28 | May 5 | May 12 | May 19 | May 26 | Jun. 3 | Jun. 12 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 31% | 30% |
Boris Yeltsin | 31% | 34% | 36% | 36% | 41% | 42% | 43% | 46% | 49% | 46% |
Name | Mar. 17 | Apr. 14 | Jun. 10 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 38% | 39% | 31% |
Grigory Yavlinsky | 29% | 28% | 34% |
Name | Mar. 17 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 44% |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 13% |
Name | Jun. 10 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 29% |
Alexander Lebed | 35% |
VCIOM poll: Who do you think will become the Russian president?
Place | Name | Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May |
1 | Boris Yeltsin |
14% | 21% | 35% | 40% | 52% |
2 | Gennady Zyuganov |
18% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 21% |
3 | Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
4 | Grigory Yavlinsky |
5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
5 | Alexander Lebed |
4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
6 | Svyatoslav Fedorov |
2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
HOW ACCURATE are Russian public opinion polls? The following table features some results of recent parliamentary elections in comparison with predictions made by VCIOM and Nezavisimaya gazeta. All percentages except for those for absentees are computed based upon the predicted/actual turnout.
Place | Party | VCIOM, Dec. 1, 1995 |
NG, Dec. 1995 |
Actual vote, Dec. 17, 1995 |
1 | Communist Party of the Russian Federation | (23.0%) | (22.9%) | (22.30%) |
2 | Liberal-Democratic Party of Russia | (11.5%) | (5.7%) | (11.18%) |
3 | Our Home is Russia | (13.1%) | (10.9%) | (10.13%) |
4 | Yabloko | (13.1%) | (9.5%) | (6.89%) |
7 | Congress of Russian Communities | (13.1%) | (6.5%) | (4.31%) |
- | Absentees | 39% | - | 35.6% |